Viewpoint Av e r ting a malaria disaster N J White, F Nosten, S Looareesuwan, W M Watkins, K Marsh, R W Snow, G Kokwaro, J Ouma, T T Hien,M E Molyneux, T E Taylor, C I Newbold, T K Ruebush II, M Danis, B M Greenwood, R M Anderson, P Olliaro
Estimates for the annual mortality from malaria range
This approach has since been adopted for cancer
from 0·5 to 2·5 million deaths. The burden of this
chemotherapy, and, more recently, for the treatment of
enormous toll, and the concomitant morbidity, is borne
AIDS and early HIV-1 infection. To treat tuberculosis or
by the world’s poorest countries. Malaria morbidity and
AIDS with a single drug is no longer regarded as ethical.
mortality have been held in check by the widespread
We believe the same principle should apply to the
availability of cheap and effective antimalarial drugs. The
treatment of malaria. The calculation is simple. Resistance
loss of these drugs to resistance may represent the single
arises from mutations. The chance that a mutant will
most important threat to the health of people in tropical
emerge that is simultaneously resistant to two different
countries. Chloroquine has been the mainstay of
antimalarial drugs is the product of the mutation rates
antimalarial drug treatment for the past 40 years, but
per parasite for the individual drugs, multiplied by the
resistance is now widespread and few countries are
number of parasites in an infection that are exposed to
the drugs. For example, if one in 109 parasites are
usually deployed as a successor to chloroquine. Both
resistant to drug A and one in 101 3 are resistant to drug
these antimalarials cost less than US$0.20 per adult
B, and the genetic mutations that confer resistance are
treatment course, but the drugs required to treat multi-
not linked, only one in 102 2 parasites will be resistant
drug-resistant falciparum malaria (quinine, mefloquine,
simultaneously to both A and B. Most patients who are
halofantrine) are over ten times more expensive and
ill with malaria have between 108 and 101 2 parasites at
cannot be afforded by most tropical countries—
presentation, and a biomass of more than 101 3 p a r a s i t e s
especially those in Africa, where it is estimated that more
in a single person is physically impossible. In this
than 90% of the world’s malaria deaths occur. Resistance
example, therefore, most patients will have at least one
to chloroquine is widespread across Africa and resistance
parasite resistant to drug A, between 0·1% and 1·0% will
to PSD is increasing.2 A health calamity looms within the
have a parasite resistant to drug B, but a parasite
next few years.3 As treatments lose their effectiveness,
simultaneously resistant to the two drugs would only
morbidity and mortality from malaria will inevitably
occur about once every 101 2 treatments (ie, less than
continue to rise. Can this disaster be prevented? Can we
once a century). Compared with sequential use of single
really “roll back malaria”, as the new Director-General
drugs, which is current policy, combinations will thus
impede the development of resistance substantially.
The rationale for combining drugs with independent
modes of action to prevent the emergence of resistance
artemether, dihydroartemisinin) are the most potent and
was first developed in antituberculous chemotherapy.
rapidly acting of the antimalarial drugs. They reduce theinfecting malaria parasite biomass by roughly 10 0 0 0 - f o l d
Lancet 1999; 353: 1965–67
per asexual (2-day) life cycle, compared with 100-fold to
Wellcome-Mahidol University Oxford Tropical Medicine Research
1000-fold for other antimalarials.5 Artemisinin and its
Programme (Prof N J White FRCP, F Nosten MD), Faculty of Tropical
derivatives are remarkably well tolerated and, to date, no
Medicine (Prof S Looareesuwan MD), Mahidol University, Bangkok,
significant resistance has been reported either in clinical
Thailand; KEMRI-Wellcome Trust Collaborative Research
isolates or in laboratory experiments. Combinations of
Programme (W M Watkins PhD, Prof K Marsh FRCP, R W Snow PhD,
artemisinin, or one of its derivatives, with more slowly
G Kokwaro PhD) and National Malaria Control Programme,
eliminated drugs such as mefloquine or lumefantrine
Ministry of Health (J Ouma PhD), Kenya; Centre for Tropical
(benflumetol) have proved highly effective, even against
Diseases, Cho Quan Hospital, Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
multidrug-resistant Plasmodium falciparum.6 , 7 On the
(T T Hien MD); College of Medicine, University of Malawi, Malawi (Prof M E Molyneux
northwest border of Thailand, which harbours the most
FRCP, T E Taylor DO); Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine, Liverpool, UK (Prof M E Molyneux); College of Osteopathic Medicine, Michigan, USA (T E Taylor); Molecular
chemotherapy has halted the progression of mefloquine
Parasitology, Institute of Molecular Medicine, University
resistance. This is attributed to two factors. First,
of Oxford, Oxford, UK (C I Newbold PhD); Centers for Disease
combinations ensure high cure rates because treatment
Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA (T K Ruebush II MD);
for 3 days with an artemisinin derivative eliminates most
Groupe Hospitalier Pitié-Salpetrière, Paris, France
of the infection, and the residuum of parasites remaining
(Prof M Danis MD); London School of Hygiene and Tropical
is exposed to maximum concentrations of the more
Medicine, London (Prof B M Greenwood FRCP); Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, Oxford (Prof R M Anderson FRS), UK; and World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
maximum of 105 parasites or 0·000001% of the asexual
parasites present initially) is all that is exposed to
Correspondence to: Prof N J White, Faculty of Tropical Medicine,
mefloquine alone. Thus, because of this rapid reduction
Mahidol University, 420/6 Rajvithi Road, Bangkok 10400, Thailand
in the parasite population within each patient, the
selective pressure for the emergence of mutants with
Copyright 1999. All rights reserved.
reduced mefloquine sensitivity is lessened substantially.8
resistance to date and the rapid elimination of these
Second, the artemisinin derivatives decrease gametocyte
drugs such that subinhibitory (ie, selective) blood or
carriage by roughly 90%.9 Recrudescent (ie, resistant)
plasma concentrations occur for only hours, resistance to
infections are associated with increased gametocyte
this group of drugs will probably develop fairly slowly.1 1
carriage rates, which provide a powerful selection
pressure to the spread of resistance.9 , 1 0 This spread is
available in many countries, and their use is generally
prevented by the artemisinin derivatives. These benefits
regulated poorly. Such use is already providing selective
are particularly important in areas of low or unstable
pressure to the emergence of resistance. If these drugs
transmission where morbidity and mortality are high,
were used only in combination with other antimalarials,
and most malaria is treated. In this context, the
artemisinin resistance would develop much more slowly.
antimalarial drugs are under intense selective pressure
This mutual protection will result in a longer useful
and resistance has, in the past, often developed rapidly.
In areas of high transmission, where infections occur
antimalarial chemotherapy than if the two components
frequently, and are usually asymptomatic in older
children and adults, the rapidly eliminated artemisininderivative will not protect its more slowly eliminated
partner during the elimination “tail” of declining blood
In animals, intramuscular injections of the oil-based
concentrations. Infections newly acquired during this tail
compounds arteether and artemether have induced an
will therefore be under selection pressure. But, provided
unusual and selective pattern of damage to certain brain-
the patients with these infections are treated with the
combination if they become symptomatic, and provided
sustained exposure of the central nervous system, which
the combination partner retains some efficacy against
is a consequence of the very slow absorption of these
any selected mutants, the infections will usually be cured
drugs from the intramuscular site. By contrast, in
and the resistant parasites will not be transmitted. The
animals, the therapeutic ratio is substantially larger after
reduction in the risk of selecting resistant mutants in the
oral administration of these same drugs, and, for the
primary symptomatic infection is not affected by the
administration—presumably because of rapid absorption
combinations should slow the evolution of drug
and elimination (T G Brewer, personal communication).
There has been no evidence of any adverse neurological
effects in a clinical experience extending to several
combinations. The rapid therapeutic response ensures
million patients, detailed prospective studies in over
that patients are able to return to school or work earlier
10 000 patients, and neurophysiological assessments in
and, in the unlikely event of complete resistance to the
more than 300 individuals who have received multiple
combination partner, a therapeutic response will stilloccur—ie, there will not be a high-grade or dangerous
treatment courses (FN, TTH, unpublished). The
failure to respond to treatment. Thus, for several
artemisinin derivatives are well-tolerated antimalarials
reasons, combination therapy with artemisinin or a
individually but combinations of drugs may lead to
unexpected adverse effects. There is no evidence for
Current practice is to deploy antimalarial drugs
serious adverse effects resulting from combinations of
individually in sequence. When one drug fails, another is
artemisinin derivatives with mefloquine, lumefantrine,
introduced. Unfortunately, there are few antimalarials
and in a small study with atovaquone-proguanil.5 , 6
and, as for many microbial pathogens, the evolution of
However, studies of pharmacokinetics and tolerability
resistance in P falciparum seems to be outstripping the
are needed on combinations with other available
development of new drugs. There are compelling reasons
to believe that resistance to the available antimalarial
amodiaquine), and also on the safety of combinations in
drugs would be slowed or prevented by the addition of
artemisinin or one of its derivatives, as has been the casewith mefloquine. Combination of an artemisinin
derivative with chloroquine and PSD in areas where
Cost is usually the major factor that determines the use
partial sensitivity to these compounds is still retained
of antimalarial drugs. Combinations with artemisinin
should extend their useful life. So what are the
derivatives would, in general, be expected to double the
objections to combination antimalarial chemotherapy?
treatment cost for individual patients. But increasedshort-term costs should result in overall savings in the
Will artemisinin resistance be encouraged?
longer term. If combination treatment translates into a
Some have argued that artemisinin derivatives are so
3–5 year extension in the useful lifespan of chloroquine,
effective in the management of severe malaria that they
amodiaquine, or PSD (as it has done for mefloquine on
should be withheld from use in uncomplicated malaria in
the western border of Thailand), the overall cost would
those areas where they are not needed, so as to protect
be less than that of deploying the next, more expensive
them from the development of resistance. However,
alternatives (mefloquine, quinine). Since chloroquine
combination chemotherapy does protect the artemisinin
and PSD are already failing in many areas, combination
derivatives from the development of resistance. If the
treatment would be expected to improve cure rates with
drug is always used in combination with another
a reduction in the morbidity (and therefore costs)
unrelated antimalarial drug, then, provided they are at
associated with treatment failure. In areas of low
least partially susceptible to the second drug, parasites
transmission, use of the artemisinin derivatives may have
are never exposed to the antimalarial activity of the
the added benefit of reducing the incidence of malaria.
artemisinin derivative alone. Given the reassuring lack of
In parts of Vietnam and Thailand, where these drugs
Copyright 1999. All rights reserved.
have been used systematically, there has been a
both these disasters could be averted if the approach we
reduction in the incidence of falciparum malaria, thus
have outlined were adopted widely. To buy 5 or 10
years’ extra life for the available affordable antimalarialdrugs will allow time for new drugs to be developed and
other interventions to be deployed. We recognise that
To ensure compliance with drug combinations, the
there are formidable logistic and political barriers to
individual components should ideally be formulated
rapid action on the scale required, but we believe that
together in a single tablet or liquid preparation.
this is now the single most important issue for malaria in
However, such formulations would need the expensive
Africa. Our purpose in writing this paper has been to
place this subject at the top of the agenda for every
studies required for regulatory approval—and who will
individual, organisation, and funding body concerned
pay for these? A less satisfactory but simpler alternative
initially would be to combine separate components inblister packs, as is done for the multiple-drug treatmentof tuberculosis and leprosy. The successes of directly
R e f e r e n c e s
observed therapy in these infections may be relevant to
Bloland PB, Lackritz EM, Kazembe PN, Were JB, Steketee R,
antimalarial treatment. The use of combinations should
Campbell CC. Beyond chloroquine: implications of drug resistance
be accompanied by new initiatives to facilitate
for evaluating malaria therapy efficacy and treatment policy in Africa. J Infect Dis 1993; 1 6 7 : 9 3 2 – 3 7 .
compliance and to encourage dispensers and retailers to
Ronn A, Msangeni HA, Mhina J, Wernsdorfer WH, Bygbjerg IC.
educate their patients on the need to complete a full
High level of resistance of Plasmodium falciparum to sulfadoxine-
course of treatment.1 3 Single-dose treatments should be
pyrimethamine in children in Tanzania. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg
monitored. More effective surveillance should also be
1996; 9 0 : 1 7 9 – 8 1 .
Marsh K. Malaria disaster in Africa. L a n c e t 1998; 3 5 2 : 9 2 4 – 2 5 .
encouraged in tropical countries, both to monitor
Harlem Brundtland G. Speech to the fifty-first World Health
efficacy and to document adverse reactions.
White NJ. Assessment of the pharmacodynamic properties of
antimalarial drugs in-vivo. Antimicrob Agents Chemother 1997; 4 1 : 1 4 1 3 – 2 2 .
Normally, the answer is more research, and more
Price RN, Nosten F, Luxemburger C, et al. Artesunate/mefloquine
research is certainly required. However, with a concerted
treatment of multi-drug resistant falciparum malaria. Trans R Soc
effort, this research could be completed within 2 years. Trop Med Hyg 1997; 9 1 : 5 7 4 – 7 7 .
Van Vugt M, Brockman A, Gemperli B, et al. Randomized
Critical decisions often need to be taken with incomplete
comparison of artemether-benflumetol and artesunate-mefloquine in
knowledge. Time is running out in Africa; four
treatment of multidrug-resistant falciparum malaria. A n t i m i c r o bAgents Chemother 1998; 4 2 : 1 3 5 – 3 9 .
Africa—have already been forced to use PSD as their
White NJ. Preventing antimalarial drug resistance through combinations. Drug Resis Update 1998; 1 : 3 – 9 .
first-line antimalarial. When this happened in southeast
Price RN, Nosten F, Luxemburger C, et al. Effects of artemisinin
Asia, high-level resistance developed within a few years
derivatives on malaria transmissibility. L a n c e t 1996; 3 4 7 : 1 6 5 4 – 5 8 .
and mefloquine had to be substituted. But there is so
1 0 Handunnetti SM, Gunewardena DM, Pathirana PPSL, Ekanayake K,
much more malaria in Africa and so much less money.
Weerasinghe S, Mendis KN. Features of recrudescent chloroquine-resistant Plasmodium falciparum infections confer a survival advantage
For the vast majority who cannot afford a US$1 or more
on parasites and have implications for disease control. Trans R Soc
for antimalarial treatment, widespread resistance to PSD
Trop Med Hyg 1996; 9 0 : 5 6 3 – 6 7 .
or its analogues will be a disaster. Time is short.3 In east
1 1 Watkins WM, Msobo M. Treatment of Plasmodium falciparum
malaria with pyrimethamine-sulfadoxine: selective pressure for
Africa, parasites with up to three mutations in the D H F R
resistance is a function of long elimination half-life. Trans R Soc Trop
gene, conferring antifolate resistance, are already
Med Hyg 1993; 8 7 : 7 5 – 7 8 .
prevalent in some areas. Acquisition of the 164 D H F R
1 2 Brewer TG, Grate SJ, Peggins JO, et al. Fatal neurotoxocity of
mutation, found in southeast Asia, would render PSD
arteether and artemether. Am J Trop Med Hyg 1994; 5 1 : 2 5 1 – 5 9 .
1 3 Snow RW, Peshu N, Forster D, Mwenesi H, Marsh K. The role of
ineffective. The development of artemisinin resistance
shops in the treatment and prevention of childhood malaria on the
would also be a health-care catastrophe. We believe that
coast of Kenya. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 1992; 8 6 : 2 3 7 – 3 9 . Copyright 1999. All rights reserved.
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