Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the International Epidemiological Association
International Journal of Epidemiology 2005;34:810–819
The Author 2005; all rights reserved. Advance Access publication 25 April 2005
Neurological status of Australian veterans of the 1991 Gulf War and the effect of medical and chemical exposures
Helen Kelsall,1* Richard Macdonell,2,3 Malcolm Sim,1 Andrew Forbes,1 Dean McKenzie,1Deborah Glass,1 Jillian Ikin1 and Peter Ittak1
Background Since the 1991 Gulf War, concerns have been voiced about the effects on the
health of veterans of Gulf War related medical and chemical exposures.
Our cross-sectional study compared 1424 male Australian Gulf War veteransand a randomly sampled military comparison group (n = 1548). A postalquestionnaire asked about the presence of current neurological type symptoms,
medically diagnosed neurological conditions, and medical and chemicalexposures. A neurological examination was performed as part of a physicalassessment.
Veterans have a higher prevalence of neurological type symptoms (ratio of means1.4, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2–1.5). Although the odds ratio (OR) oflower limb neurological type symptoms and signs in veterans compared with thecomparison group was increased (OR = 1.6, 95% CI 1.0–2.7), it was of borderline
significance, and there was no difference between groups according to aNeuropathy Score based on neurological signs alone (ratio of means 1.1, 95% CI0.9–1.3). The increased OR of neurological type symptoms and signs suggestiveof a central nervous system disorder (OR = 1.8, 95% CI 1.0–3.1) was also ofborderline significance. Veterans were not more likely to have self-reportedmedically diagnosed neurological conditions, or to have neurological typesymptoms and signs suggestive of an anterior horn cell disorder (OR = 0.9, 95%CI 0.5–1.6). The total number of neurological type symptoms reported byveterans, but not the Neuropathy Score, was associated with Gulf War relatedexposures including immunizations and pyridostigmine bromide indose–response relationships, anti-biological warfare tablets, solvents, pesticides,and insect repellents.
Conclusions This study shows increased reporting of neurological type symptoms in Gulf War
veterans, but no evidence for increased neurological effects based on objectivephysical signs. There may be a number of factors, including information bias,relating to increased neurological type symptom reporting in veterans.
Gulf War veterans, nervous system diseases, chemical exposure, medicalexposure, pyridostigmine bromide, immunizations
1 Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University,
Veterans of the 1991 Gulf War (veterans) from different
countries have consistently been found to report more
2 Department of Neurology, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Victoria, Australia.
symptoms than their non-Gulf comparison groups,1–4
3 Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Victoria,
especially symptoms that are neuropsychological5
neuromuscular1,2,6 in nature. Two recent studies have reported
* Corresponding author. Department of Epidemiology and Preventive
elevated rates of clinically confirmed amyotrophic lateral
Medicine, Monash University—Central and Eastern Clinical School, AlfredHospital, Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia.
sclerosis (ALS).7,8 Other neurological conditions, based on self-
report1,2 or symptom-based definitions,3 are also reported more
commonly. Recently, it has been reported that veterans have an
randomly sampled, non-Gulf-War veteran, military comparison
increased risk of peripheral neuropathy9,10 although this has
group. We also investigated whether veterans who received
immunizations, took medications such as PB and anti-biological
It is of interest to see whether these adverse neurological
warfare tablets, or were exposed to chemicals such as solvents
outcomes are related to exposure to medications and chemicals
and pesticides, had more neurological type symptoms or signs
during the Gulf War,16,17 such as pyridostigmine bromide (PB),
immunizations, solvents, insect repellents containing N,N-diethyl-meta-toluamide (DEET), and pesticides including
organophosphate insecticides, either singly or in combination. PB is a reversible acetylcholinesterase inhibitor that was used
Subjects
for nerve agent prophylaxis. It is one of the quaternary
The study population was the entire cohort of 1871 Australian
ammonium anticholinesterase agents that is prevented from
veterans (1833 males, 38 females) who had served in the Gulf
entering the central nervous system (CNS) by the blood brain
region during the period from August 2, 1990 to September 4,
barrier.18 It has been postulated that organophosphate
1991. A comparison group of 2924 subjects (2850 males,
insecticides, nerve agent exposure, or combinations of possible
74 females) was randomly selected from 26 411 ADF personnel
chemical exposures may work synergistically to produce
who were in operational units at the time of the Gulf War, but
neurological effects,16 based on evidence from animal
were not deployed to that conflict. The comparison group was
studies.19,20 Concurrent exposure to PB, DEET, and permethrin
frequency matched to the veteran group by sex, service type
resulted in sensorimotor deficits and region-specific alterations
(navy, army, air force), and 3 year age bands. The study was
in the cholinergic system,20 and concurrent exposure to stress
conducted from August 2000 to April 2002. Subjects were
may exacerbate neurotoxic effects,21 in rats. From this, it has
recruited via mailed invitation with two further mailings and
been hypothesized that genetic polymorphism of enzymes such
follow-up phone contact for non-responders.
as paraoxonase/ arylesterase 1 and butyrylcholinesterase may
Overall, 1808 eligible veterans (not including persons deceased
have increased the individual susceptibility of veterans to effects
or overseas and unavailable for the medical assessment) and
from exposure to neurotoxic chemicals that require these
2796 eligible comparison group, 1456 (80.5%) veterans and
enzymes for detoxification.22,23 Serum paraoxonase activity
1588 (56.8%) comparison group subjects participated.
has been observed to be lower in UK Gulf War veterans
Owing to small numbers of female Gulf War veterans,
compared with non-Gulf comparison groups, although there
analyses were limited to males. The study groups consisted of
was no difference between symptomatic and nonsymptomatic
1424 male Gulf War veterans (1232 navy, 87 army, 105 air
veteran groups.24 It has also been proposed that alterations in
force) who completed a postal questionnaire, of whom 1382
functioning neuronal mass in the basal ganglia and in central
undertook the neurological examination, and 1548 male
neurotransmitter production may, in part, explain the
comparison group subjects (1123 navy, 172 army, 253 air force)
neurological effects found in veterans.25 The evidence is not
who completed a postal questionnaire, of whom 1376
conclusive in this field of study in humans, and methodological
undertook the neurological examination. Participating veterans
problems have been acknowledged.26 In particular, previous
were slightly younger, more likely to have served in the navy,
cross-sectional studies investigating neurological health of
less highly ranked and less likely to have tertiary education, i.e.
veterans have generally relied on self-reported health outcomes
an undergraduate or post-graduate degree than comparison
or lacked an adequate military comparison group.
group subjects. Further details of the recruitment, demographic
Australia deployed 1871 defence personnel to the Gulf area as
characteristics and smoking status, and the general health
part of a larger multinational response to the invasion of Kuwait
symptoms and medical conditions reported by, the study groups
by Iraq on August 2, 1990. The majority of Australian Defence
are provided by Ikin et al.27 and Kelsall et al.28,29
Force (ADF) personnel were naval personnel deployed on
The Human Research Ethics Committees of Monash
frigates, destroyers, or supply ships. Other ADF personnel included
University, Department of Veterans’ Affairs and the Department
medical and nursing staff, mine clearance divers, intelligence
officers, linguists, and weapons inspectors. Some ADF personnelwere deployed with US and British forces. Smaller numbers of
Data collection
Royal Australian Air Force supplied transport and logistic
Participants completed a self-administered postal questionnaire,
support, but did not fly combat missions. A health risk assessment
which included questions about demographics, military service,
is undertaken for ADF deployments. Medical and preventive
17 neurological type symptoms that may have been experi-
health measures for ADF personnel deployed to the Gulf War
enced in the past month, 63 recent general (including neurolo-
included immunizations, PB, anti-biological warfare, and anti-
gical) symptoms, medically diagnosed or treated conditions
malarial tablets, personal insect repellents (varieties of which
including the year first diagnosed, medical and chemical
may have contained DEET), and pesticides.
exposures including solvents, pesticides, insect repellents and
We aimed to investigate whether Australian Gulf War
Gulf War immunizations, PB, anti-malarial and anti-biological
veterans (veterans) had a higher prevalence of symptoms and
warfare tablets, the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test
signs suggestive of peripheral neuropathy (termed neurological
(AUDIT),30 and the 12 item version of the Short Form Health
type symptoms and signs in this manuscript for brevity),
medically diagnosed neurological conditions, or combinations
Veterans were asked about the duration and quantity of PB,
of neurological signs and symptoms suggestive of myopathy,
anti-malarial or anti-biological warfare tablets taken, and were
anterior horn cell disease, CNS disorder or epilepsy than a
asked to refer to their vaccination booklet, if available, for details
about the total number, timing in relation to deployment, and
reported in the postal questionnaire and classified the likelihood
time period over which they received immunizations.
of diagnosis as ‘non-medical’, ‘unlikely’, ‘possible’, or ‘pro-
Participants undertook a health assessment at one of
bable’. This was done to improve the accuracy of classification
10 medical clinics located around Australia. This included a
of the self-reported medical diagnoses.
standardized neurological examination conducted by doctors,not neurologists, especially trained for the study and blinded to
Definitions of possible neurological disorders
the participants’ Gulf War status. The doctors also asked about
We used combinations of neurological type symptoms and signs
each medically diagnosed or treated neurological condition
to define possible neurological disorders (Table 1). Where
Table 1 Neurological symptoms and signs used to define possible neurological entities and scoring of the neurological examination for the Neuropathy Score Neurological condition Operational definition Neurological type symptoms and signs
‘Numbness, “asleep feeling” or prickling sensation in your feet or legs’
‘Numbness, “asleep feeling” or prickling sensation in your feet or legs and hands or arms’
Moderate = lower limb neurological type sensory and one or more gait unsteadiness symptoms, as well as either
(a) one or more signs of abnormal big or little toe sensation on either foot or (b) reduced or absent ankle reflexes
on either foot; and a subset of these were defined as: severe = lower limb neurological type sensory and two or more gait unsteadiness symptoms, as well as either (a) two or more signs of abnormal big or little toe sensationon either foot or (b) one or more signs of big or little toe abnormal sensation and reduced or absent ankle reflexeson either foot
Scoring of the neurological examination for the Neuropathy Scorea
0 = normal, 2 = abnormal for each of the 3rd and 6th cranial nerves; 0 = normal, 2 = weak, 4 = absent for facial
movements; and 0 = normal, 2 = weak for tongue movements
0 = normal power, 1 = active movement against gravity and resistance, 2 = active movement against gravity,
3 = active movement with gravity eliminated, 4 = flicker or trace of contraction or no contraction, for each of
0 = normal, 1 = reduced, 2 = absent for each of the biceps, triceps, brachioradialis, quadriceps, and ankle reflexes
0 = normal, 1 = decreased, 2 = absent for pinprick sensation of each thumb and big toe;
0 = normal, 1 = decreased for vibratory and joint position sensation of each index finger and big toe
Symptoms and signs of possible myopathy
● proximal upper or lower limb muscle weakness on either side, and
● normal reflexes, sensation and upper or lower limb muscle tone, no tremor, downgoing or equivocal plantar
Symptoms and signs suggestive of a disorder of anterior horn cells
● one or more symptoms of muscle weakness, and
● one or more signs of muscle fasciculations or wasting or weakness in any muscle group, and
● normal sensation and no symptoms of sensory disturbance (not including symptoms of gait disturbance)
Symptoms and signs suggestive of a CNS disorder
(a) one or more symptoms of muscles weakness, or
(b) one or more symptoms of fatigue, loss of concentration, tingling/burning or loss of sensation in hands or feet,
problems with sexual functioning, loss of balance or coordination, loss of control over bladder or bowels,double vision or passing urine more often; and one or more of the following combinations:
● increased upper or lower limb tone and reflexes or upgoing plantar reflex, as well as decreased power in
any muscle group, on the same side of the body; or
● sensory abnormality in the upper and lower limbs or nipple or umbilicus level, decreased or absent
sensation in the big or little toe, and normal or increased reflexes on the same side of the body; or
● coordination abnormality on the finger nose or heel-shin test
Epilepsy
● seizures or convulsions experienced in the past month, or
● medically diagnosed or treated epilepsy diagnosed in 1991 or later that was rated as a possible or probable
a Neuropathy Score, modified from the Mayo Clinic Neuropathy Impairment Score.32–34
suitable, some neurological type symptoms suggestive of
peripheral neuropathy have been incorporated into the other
Table 2 shows that more veterans reported at least one
neurological definitions, such as one or more symptoms of
neurological type symptom than the comparison group subjects,
muscle weakness into the definition of symptoms and signs
and a greater number reported all individual neurological type
suggestive of a CNS disorder. We also used a Neuropathy Score
symptoms, with statistically significant differences for almost all
modified from the Mayo Clinic Neuropathy Impairment
neurological type symptoms reported in the past month.
Score,32–34 a global score of muscle weakness and reflex and
Furthermore, more veterans reported at least one symptom of
sensory abnormalities suggestive of neuropathy, based solely on
muscle weakness, sensory disturbance, and autonomic
signs elicited at a neurological examination. The Neuropathy
dysfunction than did the comparison group. The total number
Score was obtained by adding subscores for cranial nerve,
of neurological type symptoms reported by veterans [mean 1.7
muscle weakness, reflex and sensation abnormalities for the
(SD 2.5), median 1] was significantly higher than that reported
right and left sides of the body and combining them into a score
in the comparison group [mean 1.2 (SD 2.0), median 0,
adjusted ratio of means 1.4, 95% CI 1.2–1.5]. This increase didnot vary with age, service type and rank (all interaction
Statistical analysis P-values Ͼ0.37, data not shown). Adjustment for smoking
Statistical analyses were performed using Stata version 7.0.35
(categorized as 0, Ͻ10, 10–20, Ͼ20 pack years), in addition to
Associations between deployment to the Gulf War and the
other possible confounding factors, made negligible differences
presence of neurological type symptoms and other defined
to the resulting adjusted ORs or adjusted ratios of means in
outcomes, adjusting for potential confounding factors, were
these or the following analyses (data not shown).
assessed using logistic regression36 and reported as adjusted
Peripheral neuropathies tend to affect the lower limbs before
prevalence OR with 95% CIs. The possible confounding factors
the upper limbs, and people often report symptoms before signs
were chosen a priori and consisted of a core set (age, rank,
are detectable on physical examination. Therefore, we used four
service type, marital status, and education) as well as factors
operational definitions of increasing specificity to define neuro-
known to increase the risk of neurological disease (diabetes and
logical type symptoms and signs, as well as the Neuropathy
excessive alcohol use). Differences in the total number of neu-
Score. Veterans generally reported more neurological type
rological type symptoms and the Neuropathy Score between
symptoms and signs according to these operational definitions
the veterans and comparison group, adjusting for possible
(Table 3). The exception to this was ‘more severe lower limb
confounding factors, were obtained by negative binomial
neurological type symptoms and signs’, where the numbers of
regression, which is a statistical technique applicable when
defined cases were too small to draw meaningful conclusions.
outcomes involve counts (which are typically not normally
The increased OR of lower limb neurological type symptoms
distributed), and allows for greater dispersion of counted values
and signs in veterans compared with the comparison group was
than does a Poisson regression.37,38 The measure of effect that
of borderline significance. The Neuropathy Score was similar in
is produced from negative binomial regression is the ratio of the
the veteran and comparison groups [mean 2.0 (4.3), median 0
mean counts across the two groups being compared. Likelihood
vs mean 2.0 (4.7), median 0, adjusted ratio of means 1.1, 95%
ratio tests36 were performed to investigate homogeneity of the
CI 0.9–1.3], and this overall result did not differ across
effects of study group across categories of age, rank, and service
subgroups of age, service type, and rank (all interaction
type for the total number of neurological type symptoms and
P-values Ͼ0.45, data not shown). Similar proportions of
the Neuropathy Score. These tests were performed using
veterans (65.2%) and comparison group (66.4%) subjects had
interaction terms added to the regression models. The
exposures to be assessed in relation to health outcomes were
Table 4 shows the proportions of the veterans and comparison
determined a priori. Dose–response trends were computed
group who reported medically diagnosed or treated neuro-
using the number of immunizations as a linear variable with
logical conditions that had first been diagnosed since the Gulf
trends reported per unit increase, and the number of PB tablets
War. The results were similar and no important differences were
taken as a categorical variable with trends reported per category
found. When the analysis was confined to conditions that had
(none, 1–80, 81–180, Ͼ180 tablets) increase. Other exposures
been rated as a ‘possible’ or ‘probable’ diagnosis by the
were considered as binary covariates in the regressions. The
examining doctors, the results were very similar.
values of the unadjusted and the adjusted ORs and ratio of
Two veterans and one comparison group subject reported
means were found to be highly similar, and so only the adjusted
medically diagnosed or treated motor neurone disease (MND)
(Table 4). Given recent reports of increased MND in Gulf War
To investigate the possible effects of participation bias on our
veterans in overseas studies,7,8,39 we asked a neurologist, who
results, we collected brief demographic and SF-1231 data from a
was blinded to the participants’ Gulf War status, to review the
telephone survey of non-participants. Study participants, who
medical information from the postal questionnaire and medical
completed the postal questionnaire, also completed the SF-12.
assessment for these three subjects. The neurologist confirmed
A prediction model was used to compute an age-, rank- and
that the findings were consistent with MND in one veteran and
service-adjusted OR for the relative health outcome of veterans
not in the other. The subject reporting MND from the com-
vs comparison group subjects for having any neurological type
parison group was found to have a compressive cervical
symptoms as if the study had achieved full participation. The
myelopathy due to spondylosis and not MND. Table 4 also
predicted ‘full participation’ adjusted ORs were averaged over
shows that a similar proportion of veteran and comparison
group subjects had symptoms and signs suggestive of a disorder
Table 2 Neurological type symptoms in the past month in male Gulf War veterans and comparison group participants Comparison veterans n (%) n (%) Neurological type symptoms Symptoms of muscle weakness
Difficulty turning doorknobs/unscrewing jars
Difficulty getting up from sitting in a chair
Problems with tripping, or feet slapping, while walking
Difficulty swallowing food (more than occasionally)
Symptoms of sensory disturbance
Difficulty recognizing hot from cold water
Difficulty feeling pain, cuts or injuries
Numbness, ‘asleep feeling’ or prickling sensation in hands or arms
Numbness, ‘asleep feeling’ or prickling sensation in feet or legs
Burning, deep aching pain or tenderness in hands or arms
Burning, deep aching pain or tenderness in feet or legs
Unusual sensitivity or tenderness of your skin when clothes or
Feeling unsteady walking on uneven ground
Feeling like you may fall over because of unsteadiness
Symptom of autonomic dysfunction
Feeling faint when standing up from lying or sitting
a ORs are adjusted for age on August 1, 1990 (Ͻ20 years, 20–24, 25–34, 35+ years), rank (officer, other rank—supervisory, other rank—nonsupervisory),
service type (navy, army, air force), current marital status (married or de facto; separated, divorced or widowed; single, never married), highest level ofeducation (р10 years schooling, 11 or 12 years, certificate or diploma, tertiary), alcohol consumption (AUDIT score у8) and a history of diabetes. Table 3 Increasingly specific operational definitions based on neurological type symptoms and signs in male Gulf War veterans and comparison group participants Comparison veterans Operational definition n (%) n (%)
Lower and upper limb neurological type symptomsc
Lower limb neurological type symptoms and signs
More severe lower limb neurological type symptoms and signs
a ORs are adjusted for age, rank, service type, current marital status, highest level of education, alcohol consumption, and a history of diabetes. b Numbness, ‘asleep feeling’ or prickling sensation in your feet or legs. c Numbness, ‘asleep feeling’ or prickling sensation in your feet or legs and hands or arms.
of anterior horn cells such as MND. Our definition correctly did
The increased OR of symptoms and signs suggestive of a CNS
not identify those two subjects whose self-reported MND was
disorder in veterans compared with the comparison group was of
not confirmed by the above neurological review as having
borderline significance. Similar proportions of veterans and
symptoms and signs suggestive of a disorder of anterior horn
comparison group subjects had symptoms and signs suggestive of
cells. Our definition excluded the veteran with MND, because
myopathy and of epilepsy, although the prevalences were small
of self-reported sensory symptoms (although sensation was
and this limited the power of the study to detect differences and
to identify associations with Gulf War service (Table 4). Table 4 Self-reported medically diagnosed or treated conditions first diagnosed in 1991 or later and operational definitions of symptoms and signs suggestive of myopathy, a disorder of anterior horn cells, CNS disorder or epilepsy in male Gulf War veterans and comparison group participants Comparison veterans n (%) n (%) Self-reported neurological condition first diagnosed in 1991 or later Operational definition of neurological conditionc
OR is adjusted for service type, rank, age, education, and marital status.
b ORs are adjusted for service type, rank and age (Ͻ25 years vs Ͼ25 years). CI intervals and P-values for adjusted ORs were obtained using exact methods
c Operational definition of neurological conditions based on neurological or neurological type symptoms and signs as defined in Table 1. d ORs are adjusted for age, rank, service type, marital status, education, alcohol consumption, and a history of diabetes. Medical and chemical exposures Investigation of possible effects of
Similar proportions of veterans and comparison group subjects
participation bias
reported exposure to pesticides (19.2% vs 15.9%) and solvents
The telephone survey for non-participants, upon which part of
(73.9% vs 67.7%) during their entire military career, and
the prediction model for assessing possible participation bias was
exposure to pesticides (8.9% vs 9.8%) and solvents (30.0% vs
based, was completed by approximately one-quarter (n = 411)
33.4%) during civilian jobs held for у6 months. Therefore,
of all study non-participants. The prediction model assumed that
such non-Gulf-War exposures were unlikely to confound any
the telephone respondents’ answers were representative of
those of the remainder of the non-participants.
In relation to their Gulf War deployment, 1298 (91.6%)
The predicted ‘full participation’ age-adjusted, rank-adjusted
veterans reported receiving immunizations, including 342
and service-adjusted prevalence OR of having any neurological
(24.1%) who reported that they did not know how many
type symptom between veteran and comparison group subjects
immunizations they had received, and 119 (8.4%) veterans
was 1.36, which is only marginally lower than the corre-
reported receiving none. Of 1113 veterans (for whom sufficient
sponding OR of 1.42 observed for participants.
data was available for calculation), 151 (13.6%) were defined ashaving received a cluster of immunizations, that is, more than
five immunizations within a period of a week or less. Someveterans were also uncertain about other medical exposures, and
We found increased reporting of neurological type symptoms
reported that they did not know whether they had taken PB,
by Gulf War veterans, but no differences in reporting of med-
anti-biological warfare or anti-malarial tablets (Table 5 footnote).
ically diagnosed neurological conditions. We also found no
The total number of neurological type symptoms was
convincing evidence for increased neurological effects based on
associated with several Gulf War exposures including having
combinations of neurological type symptoms and signs or on
taken PB and anti-biological warfare tablets, and using solvents,
signs alone in Gulf War veterans when compared with the
pesticides, and insect repellents during the Gulf War; but not
with some other exposures such as having received any
There has been limited study of peripheral neuropathy in
immunizations or a cluster of immunizations (Table 5).
previous Gulf War epidemiological works with which to
Increasing number of immunizations and increasing number of
compare our results. Cherry et al.6 found that 12.5% of the UK
PB tablets received were associated with total number of
Gulf War veterans reported neuropathic symptoms compared
neurological type symptoms in a dose–response relationship.
with 6.8% of the non-Gulf comparison group. Our association,
The pattern of the relation between exposures and having any
also based on symptoms, was not as strong as this. Jamal et al.10
neurological type symptoms (data not shown) was similar to
found that both the neurological symptom score and the mean
that observed for the total number of neurological type
clinical signs score of 14 veterans with unexplained illnesses
symptoms. The Neuropathy Score was not associated with any
were increased compared with that of 13 civilian controls.
However, they used small numbers of participants, a highly
Table 5 Analysis of total number of neurological type symptoms in Gulf War veterans by Gulf War service related immunizations and medical and chemical exposures Total number of neurological type symptoms Gulf War exposure Immunizationsb Pyridostigmine bromideb Anti-malarialsb Anti-biological warfare tabletsb Solvents Pesticides Insect repellents
a Ratio of means are adjusted for age, rank, service type, current marital status, highest level of education, alcohol consumption, and a history of diabetes. b Some veterans reported that they did not know the number of immunizations received (n = 342) and whether they had taken PB (n = 318), anti-malarial
(n = 543) or anti-biological warfare (n = 793) tablets. A smaller number of responses were missing values.
c Dose–response per unit increase in immunizations in those who had received at least one immunization. d A cluster of immunizations was defined as more than five immunizations in one week or less. e Dose–response per category increase in number of PB tablets taken.
selected veteran sample and civilian controls for comparison,
or electrophysiology or by the methods combined. In addition, the
which makes meaningful interpretation difficult.
US study reported a relation between the two objective methods
Our finding of increased neurological type symptom reporting
of neurological assessment; veterans who had abnormal
by veterans, but no difference between study groups in the
peripheral nerve conduction studies were found to be 3.89 times
Neuropathy Score, is in general agreement with a recent study of
more likely to have distal symmetric polyneuropathy found on
US veterans;15 which found increased neuropathic symptom
neurological physical examination.15 In other studies that used
reporting in veterans, but no differences in prevalence of distal
objective neurological testing, findings have varied. Five
symmetric polyneuropathy between veterans and a non-deployed
symptomatic veterans had some evidence of mild sensorimotor
comparison group assessed by neurological physical examination
deficits in peripheral nerve function on nerve conduction studies,
but electromyography was normal.9 In addition, another study
There are some limitations to our findings for neurological
found a small but statistically significant elevated threshold to cold
health outcomes. The neurological type symptom questionnaire
sensation and differences in two other sensory nerve conduction
was not a validated questionnaire. It did not include qualifying
tests comparing selected veterans and civilian controls.10 No
questions around the duration of symptoms or differential
objective abnormalities of neuromuscular disease were found in
causes. Although the neurological type symptom questionnaire
other studies of veterans with neuropathic11,13 or neuromuscular
and the definitions have face validity, they have not been
symptoms,12,40 although some veterans were found to have
validated in clinical practice. Neurological signs may not always
carpal tunnel syndrome,11,13 ulnar neuropathy,11,12 or increased
be present even when symptoms and other features of the
lactate production during subanaerobic exercise.40 The research
clinical history strongly indicate that a neurological disorder is
in this field remains inconclusive, and acknowledged
present. The process of defining neurological outcomes used in
methodological limitations include small sample sizes, use of
our study, based on symptoms and signs or signs alone (such as
highly selected samples or self-referred veterans from registry
in the Neuropathy Score), was not intended to be diagnostic.
populations, lack of comparison groups or comparison with
In our study populations the prevalence of true neurological
civilian controls, possible participation bias11,15,26 and concerns
disorders is likely to be fairly low and therefore a positive
regarding the inclusion criteria used to define cases.17
finding according to our definitions should be interpreted
In our study we used a combination of symptoms and signs in
cautiously, in terms of their ability to predict true neurological
defining a possible disorder of anterior horn cells such as ALS,
disease. Further evaluation, such as an assessment by a
the most common form of MND. Two recently published studies
neurologist or investigations such as electromyography or
that used active and passive ascertainment of ALS cases,
magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), would be required to
confirmed by medical record or telephone or personal interview
determine whether the combinations of symptoms and physical
or both, found an approximately 2-fold significantly increased
signs are really related to pathology affecting the peripheral or
risk of ALS for US veterans overall7 and for US veterans
CNS. Exposure assessment was based on self-report. The use of
diagnosed Ͻ45 years.8 Haley8 attributes the increased risk of
preventive health medication and measures may have varied
ALS in younger veterans to an environmental trigger, and
between individuals, ships, and units depending on their
predicts that the peak has not yet been reached. On the basis
perceived risk of exposure and self-compliance with
of such findings,7 the US Department of Veterans Affairs has
medication. For example, the recommended PB dose of 30 mg
accepted ALS as a Gulf-War-related condition.39 We found no
eight-hourly before and for the duration of the period of
excess of symptoms and signs suggestive of a disorder of
exposure, was to be commenced on order of the Commanding
anterior horn cells to support the US finding, but we had too
Officer, based on medical advice. DEET-based insect repellent
few defined cases to draw meaningful conclusions at this stage.
would probably have been issued to any ADF personnel going
We found no important differences in reported medically
on shore in the Gulf region, but were probably not required or
diagnosed neurological conditions in veterans compared with
used at sea. Veterans’ uncertainty in relation to their medical
the comparison group. Our analysis of the likelihood of
exposures could have influenced our results. There are several
diagnosis of self-reported neurological conditions, based on
reasons for this uncertainty, including the time that has elapsed
possible or probable diagnosis, suggests that veterans do not
since the Gulf War and poor record keeping at the time of the
appear to be over reporting medically diagnosed or treated
Gulf War. This aspect of exposure assessment highlights the
neurological conditions that were first diagnosed since the Gulf
importance of medical record keeping in the defence forces.
War compared with the comparison group. More veterans and
The prevalences of some defined outcomes were small and this
comparison group subjects had symptoms and signs suggestive
limited the power of the study to detect differences and to
of neurological conditions such as anterior horn cell disease or
identify associations with Gulf War service. Finally, although we
CNS disorder than reported medically diagnosed or treated
did not find evidence of differential effects of Gulf War
conditions. Therefore, it is possible that subjects in both study
deployment across subgroups of rank, service, or age, our ability
groups may have neurological conditions that have not yet been
to detect small differential effects was limited, especially for
diagnosed or come to medical attention.
subgroups of limited size such as non-Navy service.
The reporting of neurological type symptoms, but not the
Despite a rigorous contact and recruitment strategy, the
Neuropathy Score, was associated with increasing numbers of
comparison group participation rate was lower than that of
immunizations received and PB tablets taken, and with taking
the veteran group. Our veteran group participation rate was
anti-biological warfare tablets and using solvents, pesticides,
relatively high and the comparison group participation rate was
and insect repellents. The lack of any association between the
comparable with that of other major postal surveys of
Neuropathy Score, defined solely on the basis of neurological
veterans,1,2,4,41 and highlights the difficulties faced by
signs, and medical and chemical exposures suggests that other
researchers in contacting and recruiting young, highly mobile,
factors such as information bias, including recall bias, need to be
military and ex-military populations. Our formal evaluation of
considered when attempting to explain these associations.
possible participation bias suggests that this is unlikely to fully
One strength of our study is the use of a military comparison
explain the differences (or lack thereof) that we found between
group to whom the same definitions were applied, as this has
our study groups. In addition, we adjusted for possible
not always occurred in previous studies. In addition, we were
confounding factors such as age, rank, service type, marital
able to look at levels of reported chemical exposures in each
status, education and smoking, as well as diabetes and excessive
participant’s military career and civilian jobs. These were similar
alcohol use that are known to increase the risk of neurological
in both study groups, suggesting that they do not explain the
disease. To minimize any interviewer bias, data were collected
in the same way using the same data collection forms for
veteran and comparison group subjects, and examining doctors
In conclusion, our study demonstrates increased reporting
were blinded to participants’ Gulf War status.
of neurological type symptoms by Australian Gulf War vet-
There may be a number of explanations for the observed
erans, but no evidence for increased neurological effects
increase in neurological type symptoms reported by veterans over
based on objective physical signs. The relation with Gulf
what was reported by a comparable group of military personnel.
War exposures followed a similar pattern; associations with
The increase may really reflect a greater level of mild neurological
medical and chemical exposures were found only for
effects in veterans. Alternatively, the increase in neurological type
neurological type symptoms and not for objective physical
symptom reporting may be owing to information bias including
signs. There may be several factors contributing to increased
recall bias. Veterans may be susceptible to publicity about ‘Gulf
reporting of neurological type symptoms. While this may
War problems’, and if so may be more likely to self-report
indicate mild neurological effects in Gulf War veterans,
neurological type symptoms in the past month. Recall bias may
information bias including recall bias is also another plausible
have occurred, as those who experienced symptoms may be more
explanation. Many of the conclusions of other epidemiological
likely to report exposures.42 Wessely et al.43 found that worsening
studies of veterans’ neurological health have been based solely
health perception (though not physical health or psychological
on self-reported findings. Our study emphasizes the importance
morbidity) in UK veterans over time was associated with
of including objective physical signs in the future assessment of
increasing new reporting of exposures. Participant awareness of
the study’s purpose may have exacerbated the possible effects ofresponse frame,44 and veterans may have tended towards a
response set of how veterans are ‘expected’ to appear. Theincrease in reported neurological type symptoms may also be part
The study was funded by the Australian Government—
of the increased general ill health in veterans based on increased
Department of Veterans’ Affairs. This study was overseen by a
reporting of all general health symptoms and of symptom-based
Scientific Advisory Committee and by a veterans’ Consultative
medical conditions;29,41,45 and with the increased reporting of
Forum, and we are grateful to members for their contributions
multiple46 and sometimes unexplained47 symptoms following
and support. We acknowledge the contribution of Health
deployment to war,47 something that is not generally well
Services Australia who conducted the medical assessments. We
understood.45 Post-combat syndromes over the past 100 years
are grateful to Dr Wendyl D’Souza, neurologist, for his advice
have, however, been characterized by a general shift from debility
on, and training of doctors for, the standardized neurological
type symptoms to psychological or cognitive symptoms with a
examination performed in the study. We thank Dr Keith
Horsley, Dr Warren Harrex, Mr Bob Connolly and his contact
These possible biases should have had less of an effect on
and recruitment team at the Department of Veterans’ Affairs,
neurological health outcomes that we defined using
Canberra. Finally, we thank the Gulf War veterans and
combinations of symptoms and physical signs, and no effect on
members of the comparison group for the time and effort they
the Neuropathy Score that was defined solely by physical signs.
Our study demonstrates increased reporting of neurological type symptoms by Australian Gulf War veterans, but no evidence
for increased neurological effects based on objective neurological physical signs.
The relation with Gulf War exposures followed a similar pattern; associations with medical and chemical exposures were found
only for neurological type symptoms and not for physical signs.
Gulf War veterans were not more likely to have neurological type symptoms and signs suggestive of a disorder of anterior horn
cells such as ALS, the most common form of motor neurone disease, although the numbers are small and need to be interpreted
There may be a number of factors, such as information including recall bias, relating to increased neurological type symptom
4 Ishoy T, Suadicani P, Guldager B, Appleyard M, Hein HO, Gyntelberg F.
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